Notes · · Trust

When GSRF lost

Published losses. If a vendor only shows wins, keep your wallet closed.

Three locked regimes where EMA (or trackers) clearly beat balanced GSRF Practical:

1. Feedback delay as command path

On delayed measured-plant feedback packages, MAD to measured was worse for GSRF by roughly +59% (3 min), +97% (6 min), and +106% (10 min) versus EMA. The spring fights delayed truth. We lost. Do not deploy here.

2. Fixed false-alarm residual detection

At matched FA on synthetic excursions, residual recall was about 0.44 (GSRF) vs 0.83 (EMA). Peak compression + larger normal residual raises thresholds. We lost as a detector. Use a detector; use GSRF to calm.

3. Tracking MAD vs raw

Excellence hunt multi-family package: 0 / 52 MAD wins vs best EMA. Not noise—identity. If your KPI is hug-the-raw, you want EMA/Kalman/k_return≈0.

Why publish this?

Because the green lights (mid-band kill, peaks, adaptive x*) only mean something next to red lights. Full cage: Evidence → Boundaries.

Sources: characterization v4 delay · probes v5 alarm · excellence hunt v2.

Questions people actually ask

Where did GSRF lose on locked packs?

Tracking MAD vs best EMA (0/52), multi-minute delayed command MAD-to-measured, and fixed false-alarm residual recall vs EMA residual.

Why publish losses?

Trust. Buyers and agents should see red lights before production, not only green marketing.

Does a loss mean never use GSRF?

No — it means do not use it for that job. Mid-band ring and peak compression remain the supported niche.

Comparison guide All notes